{"id":737,"date":"2025-12-21T07:39:33","date_gmt":"2025-12-21T07:39:33","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/gammonrants.org\/?page_id=737"},"modified":"2025-12-21T07:39:34","modified_gmt":"2025-12-21T07:39:34","slug":"a-subtle-blunder","status":"publish","type":"page","link":"https:\/\/gammonrants.org\/index.php\/a-subtle-blunder\/","title":{"rendered":"A subtle blunder"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>You know these positions where it doesn&#8217;t matter whether you move this or that checker? <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Turns out, sometimes it does.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Have a look at this move:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"719\" src=\"https:\/\/gammonrants.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/move-1024x719.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-740\" srcset=\"https:\/\/gammonrants.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/move-1024x719.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/gammonrants.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/move-300x211.jpg 300w, https:\/\/gammonrants.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/move-768x539.jpg 768w, https:\/\/gammonrants.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/move-1536x1078.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/gammonrants.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/move.jpg 1814w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>What&#8217;s your opinion on this move? Was it good? What other move might have been better and why?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>When playing this move, I probably spent something like 300 milliseconds on it. Get checker from the bar, do something with the remaining 1 that doesn&#8217;t affect the game too much. Maybe move the last checker. Always good.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Which was a blunder worth 0.12 points of equity.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The correct move is bar\/21 6\/5, NOT moving the checker on the 14.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"710\" height=\"188\" src=\"https:\/\/gammonrants.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/analysis-2.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-741\" srcset=\"https:\/\/gammonrants.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/analysis-2.jpg 710w, https:\/\/gammonrants.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/analysis-2-300x79.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 710px) 100vw, 710px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>I&#8217;m still a bit stunned about this. Yes, I&#8217;m doubling the chances of my opponent hitting me &#8211; a 66 is 1\/36, and a 65 is 1\/18. And given his 5-point board that&#8217;s almost certainly turning the game around. But 1\/36 is nearly nothing. Probably part of the explanation is my blot on the 21 point. So it&#8217;s not that my opponent has a single chance to hit me with a 65. He also can first hit me with any 1 and 3, and while I&#8217;m trying to get in from the bar, he can roll a 6 and later a 5, for a sure win and even good gammon chances.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>And as there is not a single tiny drawback of moving 6\/5, I should just have spent more than a fraction of a second to consider this move. Even the simple ones might not be so simple.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>You know these positions where it doesn&#8217;t matter whether you move this or that checker? Turns out, sometimes it does. Have a look at this move: What&#8217;s your opinion on this move? Was it good? What other move might have been better and why? When playing this move, I probably spent something like 300 milliseconds [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"parent":0,"menu_order":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","template":"","meta":{"om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"class_list":["post-737","page","type-page","status-publish","hentry"],"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/gammonrants.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/737","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/gammonrants.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/gammonrants.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/page"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/gammonrants.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/gammonrants.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=737"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/gammonrants.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/737\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":742,"href":"https:\/\/gammonrants.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/737\/revisions\/742"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/gammonrants.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=737"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}